Ohio Ag Weather and Forecast, February 5, 2019

first_imgShare Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest A little colder today behind the front that brought some light rain yesterday. This cold push is just the first in several that we take over the next week to 10 days that push temps down. Generally, we are mostly unchanged in our forecast this morning, but do have a few tweaks from nearly next week on through the extended 11-16 day forecast period. Today we should see a lot of clouds, but won’t rule out some sunny breaks here and there. A lot of the sun potential really depends on how fast fog burns off this morning and how thick that fog was in some spots. Either way, clouds will be back on the increase this afternoon, and we expect our next round of precipitation to wait until early tomorrow to really get going. Once the rains start tomorrow morning, they continue through Thursday and into the first part of Friday. We are keeping 60 hour rain totals at anywhere from 1″-2.5″ with coverage at nearly all of the state. There can be some areas in southern Ohio that exceed the upper end of the range, but we think those areas are somewhat limited.  Cumulative rain totals through Friday morning are shown on the map at right. Friday midday and afternoon, we clear out and turn significantly colder. We should see the entire state below freezing for Friday afternoon, and the cold air lingers through Saturday too with partly sunny skies. We don’t warm much Sunday either, and as a little clipper wave comes through, we have to allow for some light snow from evening through midnight. However, accumulations are minor, with only a coating to 1 inch of snow. We are taking coverage back a little bit this morning to around 60% of the state. We stay cold next Monday but should be partly sunny again. Our first significant change to the forecast comes next Tuesday, the 12th. We still have a nice system moving across the state, but cold air holds over a larger part of the region. That means we are still looking for rain in the south, but for the southernmost quarter of the state. Over the rest of the state, we see snow with several inches possible. However, this will be a rather wet snow. Right now, the low looks to track from the Vincennes, Indiana area across to Dayton and Columbus  before working its way out of east central and northeast Ohio into PA and NY. However, that track looks pretty flat. Cold air will have to really dominate to keep the low that far south. If the low lifts farther north, that will allow for more rain over southern and central Ohio, and move the snow potential to NW and north central Ohio. But, this system is still 7 days away…way too far out to really get to specific on things like snow totals…but the shift to more cold air is the biggest change this morning. We see another push of cold air for midweek next week on Wednesday, with morning flurries and some strong winds. We expect the entire state to be below freezing again, and the winds create low wind chills. Next Thursday – Valentine’s Day – starts with some sun but will feature mostly increasing clouds. That leads to snow for Thursday night through next Friday, and accumulations are possible. For the rest of the extended period, we have some rain developing for Saturday the 16th, totals from .25”-1” over 80% of the state, which lingers into Sunday. Then Presidents Day (Monday the 18th) we go back to snow with possible accumulations. We finish out the extended period with partly sunny skies, but we are not looking for quite as cold of air as our previous forecast…we should see some slight moderation. Overall, our pattern remains very active, and we can not stress enough that the rains the rest of this week are going to be excessive, and most of the state will end up with way too much water sitting around.last_img

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