Jordan Spieths Grand Slam Chances

By capturing his second major of the 2015 season, U.S. Open winner Jordan Spieth has placed himself in some very elite company. It’s only the fourth time since 19581Roughly speaking, 1958 marks the beginning of the modern era of major championships; that’s when the PGA Championship adopted a stroke-play format. that the same player has won both of the year’s first two majors, and just the 13th time any player won back-to-back major titles.The conversation has quickly turned to Spieth’s Grand Slam chances. This has been the Year of Spieth on the PGA Tour, and a Slam would solidify his season as one of the best in golf history. And yet he’s not considered to be the best golfer on tour. Spieth is still the second-ranked player in the world behind Rory McIlroy, who is probably the better golfer on a per-round basis and has, in the past, won the two major tournaments remaining on the 2015 schedule.That’s why the betting markets consider McIlroy, and not Spieth, the favorite to win each of the season’s final two majors. After adjusting for the house edge built into betting odds, the sportsbook Bovada.lv assigns2To the best of our knowledge, Bovada only lists the players upon whom they’ve gotten action, and will release odds for other players upon request. The inclusion of additional players could slightly alter the house-edge adjustment we made, but those players’ odds of winning are so low that the change would be minimal at best. McIlroy a 13 percent probability of winning the British Open and an 11 percent chance of winning the PGA Championship; the site gives Spieth a 9 percent shot at winning each tournament.Those numbers are similar to the ones you’d see if you looked at how past back-to-back major winners did in their next two major tournaments. Of those who won back-to-back majors, only Tiger Woods — who won his “Tiger Slam” by capturing the 2000 U.S. and British Opens and the PGA Championship, plus the 2001 Masters — went on to win any of the next two majors, giving the group an 8.3 percent success rate per major.Of course, sometimes you can play well enough to win but run into another great performance. That’s when a method such as Bill Barnwell’s Z-scores is useful, because it tells us how well a player scored relative to the rest of the field on the same day. We can then use that number to track how often a player’s performance would be good enough to win a typical major against typical competition, which helps even out comparisons between fields of varying quality. And according to this calculation, the average back-to-back major champ’s Z-scores over his next two majors were good enough to win a generic major3From 1958 on. 11.3 percent of the time.No matter how you cut it, the odds of Spieth finishing off the Grand Slam are still fairly low — about 1 percent, if the probabilities above are any kind of guide.Even if Spieth doesn’t win the Slam, however, his future looks exceptionally bright. Back in April, we developed a model (based on the historical performance, by age, of people who won majors) to track Woods’s progress in his pursuit of Jack Nicklaus’s all-time majors record. If we plug in Spieth’s expected major count at year’s end — roughly 2.2, using the odds from Bovada — he’s currently on pace to finish his career with just under 12 major titles, a total that would rank third all-time if it came to fruition. (And remember, that’s just a mean projection — the variance around it means there are plenty of scenarios in which he wins more than 12.)Either way, it’s been an incredible start to Spieth’s career, Grand Slam or not. read more

See More

Pakistan pushing 100 terrorists from Afghanistan to Kashmir Valley says intel report

first_imgIndian security personnel guards at the Line of Control (LoC).ReutersIndian intelligence agencies have suggested Pakistan is planning to push 100 ‘hardcore’ terrorists from Afghanistan into the Kashmir Valley. “We have credible intelligence that Pakistan is bringing over 100 hardcore terrorists from Afghanistan and they will be pushed into Kashmir in the next few weeks,” said a military source.It was revealed that Pakistan’s assessments indicated the local terrorists in Kashmir are not adequately trained and have “low shelf-life”, leading to a leadership crisis after their elimination in anti-terror military operations.Abdul Rauf Azhar, the younger brother of Jaish-e-Mohammad chief Maulana Masood Azhar, reportedly held meetings with top commanders at the Bahawalpur headquarters on August 19 and 20 regarding ways of pushing experienced Afghan militants into the valley.Intelligence reports also claimed around 15 Jaish militants are waiting for instructions to infiltrate into Kashmir from terror cells located in Pakistan’s Lipa valley along the Line of Control (LoC).Pakistan-based terror groups are suspected of targeting vital installations in several major cities in the next few weeks, according to the sources. It was also revealed that serial attacks in Kashmir are being planned in an attempt to deceive the international community into showing the deteriorating situation in the valley, following the abrogation of special status granted to Jammu and Kashmir through Article 370.Earlier intelligence reports had stated Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) has given JeM full permission for suicide bomb attacks in the valley to cause as many casualties as they can, without worrying about “collateral damage”.Indian security forces have been on high alert following multiple updates on the reactivation of terrorist-training camps in border regions with “backing by the Pakistan army”.Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan has also made ominous statements about a military conflict between the two countries after New Delhi’s decision on Kashmir and said that “Pulwama-like attacks” can be expected. Close IBTimes VideoRelated VideosMore videos Play VideoPauseMute0:01/7:41Loaded: 0%0:01Progress: 0%Stream TypeLIVE-7:40?Playback Rate1xChaptersChaptersDescriptionsdescriptions off, selectedSubtitlessubtitles settings, opens subtitles settings dialogsubtitles off, selectedAudio Trackdefault, selectedFullscreenThis is a modal window.Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window.TextColorWhiteBlackRedGreenBlueYellowMagentaCyanTransparencyOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundColorBlackWhiteRedGreenBlueYellowMagentaCyanTransparencyOpaqueSemi-TransparentTransparentWindowColorBlackWhiteRedGreenBlueYellowMagentaCyanTransparencyTransparentSemi-TransparentOpaqueFont Size50%75%100%125%150%175%200%300%400%Text Edge StyleNoneRaisedDepressedUniformDropshadowFont FamilyProportional Sans-SerifMonospace Sans-SerifProportional SerifMonospace SerifCasualScriptSmall CapsReset restore all settings to the default valuesDoneClose Modal DialogEnd of dialog window. COPY LINKAD Loading …center_img PM Narendra Modi addressed the nation on Revocation of Article 370last_img read more

See More

Aggressive tone can reflect your size strength to others

first_imgThe aggression in your tone can help the listener determine how strong or weak, tall or short you are than them, with a high degree of accuracy, a study has found.While many animals – including sea lions, red deer, and dogs – have the ability to judge their competitor through hearing their vocalisations, researchers found that humans can also use nonverbal vocal cues, including aggressive roars, to judge one another’s size and physical formidability. Also Read – Add new books to your shelf”When other animals produce vocalisations, they’re doing so for a reason – they’re communicating information about themselves, be it physical condition or internal state,” said Jordan Raine from Britain’s University of Sussex. “The information is often ‘honest’ but as our study shows, vocalisations can also serve to exaggerate traits such as physical formidability,” Raine added. For the study, the team measured the upper-body strength and height of men and women and recorded them producing aggressive roars and aggressive speech sentences. Also Read – Over 2 hours screen time daily will make your kids impulsiveThe findings, reported in the journal iScience, showed that men could correctly determine whether a stranger was physically stronger than themselves 88 per cent of the time when listening to a clip of someone roaring.On the other hand, women tended to overestimate the strength of a man in a recording, compared to audio clips of female speakers with a similar level of strength.”Previous investigations have found that humans can estimate height and strength from the voice, but that they don’t do it very well,” Raine said. “However, no one has ever investigated to what extent people can judge whether someone is stronger or weaker than themselves – a judgment that may be more relevant to the survival of our ancestors than judging someone’s absolute strength or body size,” Raine noted.last_img read more

See More

Road was closed in both directions due to accident

first_imgLocation of the accident (Image: Inrix) Want to tell us about something going on where you live? Let us know – Tweet us  @SOTLive  or message us on  our Facebook page . And if you have pictures to share, tag us on Instagram at  StokeonTrentLive . Get the biggest Daily stories by emailSubscribeSee our privacy noticeThank you for subscribingSee our privacy noticeCould not subscribe, try again laterInvalid EmailA major road was closed in both directions due to an accident in South Cheshire this afternoon. The A50 Newcastle Road is shut in both directions and there delays due to the accident from Back Lane (Leg of Man, Arclid Green) to Love Lane (The Bulls Head, Fourlanes End). Inrix, the traffic data company, first reported the collision had taken place at around 2.55pm today (Friday January 25). Emergency services are understood to be at the scene. We’ve now received reports (at 3.25pm) from motorists the carriageway has reopened. We have no further information about the accident at this stage. Read MoreNumbers plates stolen from vehicles parked on drivewaylast_img read more

See More